Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001422 0.001475 0.001529 0.001588 0.001652 0.001719 0.001794
2025-08-03 0.001322 0.001397 0.001476 0.001567 0.001669 0.001781 0.001913
2025-08-10 0.001266 0.001357 0.001457 0.001575 0.001713 0.001869 0.002063
2025-08-17 0.001211 0.001313 0.001427 0.001566 0.001731 0.001926 0.002178
2025-08-24 0.001162 0.001272 0.001396 0.001550 0.001739 0.001968 0.002275
2025-08-31 0.001143 0.001263 0.001401 0.001576 0.001796 0.002072 0.002457
2025-09-07 0.001117 0.001243 0.001391 0.001582 0.001827 0.002143 0.002600
2025-09-14 0.001084 0.001213 0.001366 0.001567 0.001830 0.002176 0.002692
2025-09-21 0.001051 0.001182 0.001339 0.001546 0.001823 0.002194 0.002763
2025-09-28 0.001025 0.001158 0.001319 0.001534 0.001825 0.002223 0.002853
2025-10-05 0.000984 0.001114 0.001272 0.001484 0.001773 0.002174 0.002816
2025-10-12 0.000963 0.001094 0.001255 0.001474 0.001776 0.002201 0.002902
2025-10-19 0.000950 0.001085 0.001252 0.001481 0.001803 0.002268 0.003060
2025-10-26 0.000930 0.001066 0.001236 0.001471 0.001806 0.002298 0.003160
2025-11-02 0.000920 0.001060 0.001235 0.001482 0.001838 0.002375 0.003354
2025-11-09 0.000904 0.001044 0.001222 0.001474 0.001844 0.002410 0.003475
2025-11-16 0.000886 0.001026 0.001205 0.001461 0.001840 0.002429 0.003567
2025-11-23 0.000883 0.001028 0.001214 0.001484 0.001892 0.002544 0.003867
2025-11-30 0.000874 0.001021 0.001211 0.001489 0.001916 0.002613 0.004085
2025-12-07 0.000858 0.001005 0.001195 0.001476 0.001910 0.002631 0.004192
2025-12-14 0.000842 0.000987 0.001177 0.001458 0.001896 0.002631 0.004259
2025-12-21 0.000828 0.000973 0.001163 0.001447 0.001892 0.002650 0.004374
2025-12-28 0.000803 0.000944 0.001128 0.001402 0.001832 0.002563 0.004219